Division
NFC South
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
8.0p10 5.0 — p90 11.0
| Round | Prob | Bar |
|---|---|---|
| Win division | 26.7% | |
| Make playoffs | 37.2% | |
| Divisional rd. | 16.4% | |
| Conf. champ. | 6.3% | |
| Super Bowl | 1.9% | |
| Win SB | 0.6% |
2026 Schedule · SOS
proj 8.1–8.9·rank 29 / 32
SOS Net
-0.67
Opp Off
-0.53
Opp Def
+0.14
| Wk | Opp | Opp | Proj | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @PIT | -0.4 | -3.1 | 41% |
| 2 | vsCAR | -1.8 | +2.3 | 57% |
| 3 | @GB | +0.5 | -4.0 | 38% |
| 4 | @NO | -3.3 | -0.2 | 49% |
| 5 | vsBAL | +1.3 | -0.8 | 48% |
| 6 | vsCHI | +0.2 | +0.3 | 51% |
| 7 | vsSF | +0.7 | -0.2 | 49% |
| 8 | @TB | -0.3 | -3.2 | 41% |
| 9 | vsCIN | -1.7 | +2.2 | 56% |
| 10 | vsKC | +1.4 | -0.9 | 47% |
| 12 | @MIN | +0.0 | -3.5 | 40% |
| 13 | vsDET | +2.0 | -1.5 | 46% |
| 14 | @CLE | -3.6 | +0.1 | 50% |
| 15 | @WAS | -0.8 | -2.7 | 42% |
| 16 | vsTB | -0.3 | +0.8 | 52% |
| 17 | vsNO | -3.3 | +3.8 | 61% |
| 18 | @CAR | -1.8 | -1.7 | 45% |
Quarterbacks · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Michael Penix Jr. | 6'3" | 220 | 26 | Washington |
| QB | 2nd | Tua Tagovailoa | 6'1" | 225 | 28 | Alabama |
| QB | 3rd | Trevor Siemian | 6'3" | 220 | 34 | Northwestern |
| QB | — | Jack Strand | 6'5" | 240 | 21 | Minnesota State |
Running Backs · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Bijan Robinson | 5'11" | 215 | 24 | Texas |
| RB | 2nd | Brian Robinson | 6'1" | 225 | 27 | Alabama |
| RB | 3rd | Tyler Goodson | 5'9" | 197 | 25 | Iowa |
| RB | 4th | Nathan Carter | 5'10" | 202 | 24 | Michigan State |
| RB | 5th | Cash Jones | 5'11" | 195 | 24 | Georgia |
Wide Receivers · 10
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Drake London | 6'4" | 215 | 24 | USC |
| WR | 2nd | Jahan Dotson | 5'11" | 184 | 26 | Penn State |
| WR | 3rd | Olamide Zaccheaus | 5'8" | 199 | 28 | Virginia |
| WR | 4th | Zachariah Branch | 5'10" | 180 | 22 | Georgia |
| WR | 5th | Casey Washington | 6'0" | 205 | 25 | Illinois |
| WR | 6th | Dylan Drummond | 6'0" | 190 | 26 | Eastern Michigan |
| WR | 8th | Chris Blair | 6'2" | 215 | 28 | Alcorn State |
| WR | — | Keelan Marion | 6'0" | 195 | 23 | Miami; BYU; Connecticut |
| WR | — | Le'Meke Brockington | 6'0" | 195 | 24 | Minnesota |
| WR | — | Vinny Anthony II | 6'0" | 190 | 22 | Wisconsin |
Tight Ends · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Kyle Pitts | 6'6" | 250 | 25 | Florida |
| TE | 2nd | Austin Hooper | 6'4" | 254 | 31 | Stanford |
| TE | 3rd | Charlie Woerner | 6'5" | 250 | 28 | Georgia |
| TE | 4th | Joshua Simon | 6'4" | 259 | 25 | South Carolina |
| TE | — | Jack Velling | 6'5" | 245 | 24 | Michigan State; Oregon State |
Offensive Line · 17
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Andrew Stueber | 6'7" | 320 | 26 | Michigan |
| OL | — | Brandon Walton | 6'5" | 300 | 28 | Florida Atlantic |
| OL | — | Chris Lindstrom | 6'4" | 310 | 29 | Boston College |
| OL | — | Corey Levin | 6'4" | 307 | 31 | Tennessee-Chattanooga |
| OL | — | Ethan Onianwa | 6'7" | 333 | 23 | Ohio State; Rice |
| OL | — | Jack Nelson | 6'7" | 314 | 24 | Wisconsin |
| OL | — | Jake Matthews | 6'5" | 309 | 34 | Texas A&M |
| OL | — | James Brockermeyer | 6'3" | 295 | 23 | Miami; TCU; Alabama |
| OL | — | Jawaan Taylor | 6'5" | 312 | 28 | Florida |
| OL | — | Kam Dewberry | 6'4" | 332 | — | Alabama; Texas A&M |
| OL | — | Kyle Hinton | 6'2" | 315 | 28 | Washburn |
| OL | — | Layden Robinson | 6'3" | 311 | 25 | Texas A&M |
| OL | — | Matthew Bergeron | 6'5" | 315 | 26 | Syracuse |
| OL | — | Michael Jerrell | 6'5" | 309 | 26 | Findlay |
| OL | — | Riley Mahlman | 6'8" | 318 | 23 | Wisconsin |
| OL | — | Ryan Neuzil | 6'3" | 305 | 28 | Appalachian State |
| OL | — | Storm Norton | 6'7" | 310 | 32 | Toledo |
Interior D-Line · 10
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDE | 1st | Brandon Dorlus | 6'3" | 295 | 25 | Oregon |
| NT | 1st | Da'Shawn Hand | 6'3" | 302 | 30 | Alabama |
| LDE | 2nd | LaCale London | 6'3" | 297 | 28 | Western Illinois |
| NT | 2nd | Maason Smith | 6'5" | 306 | 23 | LSU |
| RDE | 2nd | Chris Williams | 6'2" | 298 | 27 | Wagner |
| LDE | 3rd | Elijah Garcia | 6'5" | 302 | 28 | Rice |
| NT | 3rd | Anterio Thompson | 6'4" | 310 | 23 | Washington |
| RDE | 3rd | Ross Blacklock | 6'3" | 290 | 27 | TCU |
| DL | — | CJ Nunnally IV | 6'3" | 265 | 22 | Purdue; Akron |
| DL | — | Carlos Allen Jr. | 6'1" | 295 | 23 | Houston; Kennesaw State |
Edge Rushers · 8
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RDE | 1st | Zach Harrison | 6'5" | 270 | 24 | Ohio State |
| SLB | 1st | James Pearce | 6'5" | 243 | 22 | Tennessee |
| WLB | 1st | Jalon Walker | 6'2" | 245 | 22 | Georgia |
| SLB | 2nd | Samson Ebukam | 6'3" | 245 | 31 | Eastern Washington |
| WLB | 2nd | Cameron Thomas | 6'4" | 265 | 25 | San Diego State |
| SLB | 3rd | Azeez Ojulari | 6'3" | 240 | 25 | Georgia |
| WLB | 3rd | DeAngelo Malone | 6'3" | 235 | 26 | Western Kentucky |
| SLB | 4th | Bralen Trice | 6'4" | 274 | 25 | Washington |
Linebackers · 8
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LILB | 1st | Divine Deablo | 6'3" | 223 | 27 | Virginia Tech |
| RILB | 1st | Christian Harris | 6'2" | 232 | 25 | Alabama |
| LILB | 2nd | Channing Tindall | 6'2" | 236 | 26 | Georgia |
| RILB | 2nd | JD Bertrand | 6'1" | 230 | 26 | Notre Dame |
| RILB | 3rd | Troy Andersen | 6'4" | 245 | 27 | Montana State |
| RILB | 4th | Kendal Daniels | 6'5" | 242 | 23 | Oklahoma |
| LB | — | Daveren Rayner | 6'2" | 217 | — | Kentucky; Northern Illinois |
| LB | — | Malik Verdon | 6'4" | 218 | 23 | Iowa State |
Defensive Backs · 18
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FS | 1st | Xavier Watts | 6'0" | 203 | 24 | Notre Dame |
| LCB | 1st | A.J. Terrell | 6'1" | 200 | 27 | Clemson |
| NB | 1st | Billy Bowman | 5'10" | 194 | 23 | Oklahoma |
| RCB | 1st | Mike Hughes | 5'10" | 190 | 29 | Central Florida |
| SS | 1st | Jessie Bates | 6'1" | 210 | 29 | Wake Forest |
| FS | 2nd | Sydney Brown | 5'10" | 211 | 26 | Illinois |
| LCB | 2nd | Clark Phillips | 5'9" | 185 | 24 | Utah |
| NB | 2nd | Mike Ford | 6'0" | 199 | 30 | Southeast Missouri State |
| RCB | 2nd | Avieon Terrell | 5'11" | 186 | 21 | Clemson |
| SS | 2nd | Jammie Robinson | 5'11" | 200 | 25 | Florida State |
| FS | 3rd | DeMarcco Hellams | 6'1" | 203 | 25 | Alabama |
| LCB | 3rd | Cobee Bryant | 6'0" | 180 | 24 | Kansas |
| NB | 3rd | Darren Hall | 6'0" | 195 | 26 | San Diego State |
| RCB | 3rd | CJ Henderson | 6'1" | 205 | 27 | Florida |
| LCB | 4th | Natrone Brooks | 5'11" | 175 | 26 | Southern Miss |
| RCB | 4th | Darnay Holmes | 5'10" | 198 | 27 | UCLA |
| DB | — | A.J. Woods | 5'11" | 195 | 25 | Pittsburgh |
| DB | — | Malcolm DeWalt IV | 6'2" | 190 | 24 | Akron; Butte College; Snow |
Special Teams · 10
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | 1st | Jake Bailey | 6'2" | 212 | 28 | Stanford |
| KR | 1st | Zachariah Branch | 5'10" | 180 | 22 | Georgia |
| P | 1st | Jake Bailey | 6'2" | 212 | 28 | Stanford |
| PK | 1st | Nick Folk | 6'1" | 222 | 41 | Arizona |
| PR | 1st | Zachariah Branch | 5'10" | 180 | 22 | Georgia |
| KR | 3rd | Natrone Brooks | 5'11" | 175 | 26 | Southern Miss |
| KR | 4th | Dylan Drummond | 6'0" | 190 | 26 | Eastern Michigan |
| KR | 5th | Tyler Goodson | 5'9" | 197 | 25 | Iowa |
| LS | — | Liam McCullough | 6'2" | 245 | 28 | Ohio State |
| LS | — | Philip Florenzo | 6'2" | 240 | 23 | Clemson |
Team Profile
2025 · pct vs league
| Pass Off | -0.01 | #20 | 39% |
| Rush Off | -0.03 | #23 | 29% |
| Pass Def | -0.03 | #13 | 61% |
| Rush Def | 0.03 | #25 | 23% |
| Scoring Off | 353 | #24 | 26% |
| Scoring Def | 401 | #19 | 42% |
EPA Trend
EPA/play by season · adj
NetOffDefDef: lower = better
Performance · 2025
8-9 · -48 pt diff
| Metric | Off | Def | Rk |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play (adj) | -0.017 | +0.024 | 21 |
| EPA / play (raw) | -0.017 | +0.024 | 23/15 |
| Pass EPA | -0.013 | -0.029 | 20/13 |
| Rush EPA | -0.031 | +0.028 | 23/25 |
| Points | 353 | 401 | — |
Lower def EPA = better. Ranks: 1 best, 32 worst.
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
20.8
24th in NFL
PPG Against
23.6
19th in NFL
Differential
-2.8
21st in NFL
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / LSeason Results
8-9 · 9-8 ATS
WinLossCoveredmargin per game
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 4-4 | 21.2 | 25.8 |
| Away | 4-5 | 20.3 | 21.7 |
| Competition | |||
| One-score (≤8) | 5-5 | 25.4 | 25 |
| vs Winning teams | 3-3 | 19.2 | 20.8 |
| Environment | |||
| Indoors | 7-5 | 22.2 | 22.7 |
| Outdoors | 1-4 | 17.2 | 25.8 |
| Grass | 2-3 | 18 | 25.6 |
| Turf | 6-6 | 21.9 | 22.8 |
Recent Form · last 5
4-1 SU · 3-2 ATS · O3/U2
Betting Profile
2025
| Straight up | 8-9 |
| ATS | 9-853% |
| Over / Under | 8-9 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 7-3 |
| As underdog | 2-5 |
| Home | 3-5 |
| Away | 6-3 |
vs closing line · splits show cover-no cover
Cap & Roster Construction
APY $174M· gtd $266M
OFF $59.7M (34%)DEF $107M (61%)ST $7.5M
| Group | Players | APY | % Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 3 | $8.2M | 5% |
| RB | 4 | $10.1M | 6% |
| WR | 6 | $18.2M | 10% |
| TE | 4 | $23.2M | 13% |
| DL | 7 | $13.4M | 8% |
| EDGE | 8 | $21.0M | 12% |
| LB | 5 | $13.3M | 8% |
| DB | 15 | $59.5M | 34% |
| ST | 2 | $7.5M | 4% |
Top Contracts
| Player | Yrs | Total | Gtd | APY | Cap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. TerrellCB | 4 | $81.0M | $42.3M | $20.3M | 7.9% |
| Jessie BatesS | 4 | $64.0M | $36.0M | $16.0M | 7.1% |
| Kyle PittsTE | 1 | $15.0M | $15.0M | $15.0M | 5.0% |
| Jahan DotsonWR | 2 | $15.0M | $10.0M | $7.5M | 2.5% |
| Divine DeabloLB | 2 | $14.0M | $6.7M | $7.0M | 2.5% |
| Mike HughesCB | 3 | $18.0M | $9.6M | $6.0M | 2.1% |
Pending Free Agents
| Player | Free | APY |
|---|---|---|
| Drake LondonWR | 2026 | $5.4M |
| Mike FordCB | 2026 | $4.0M |
| Jessie BatesS | 2027 | $16.0M |
| Kyle PittsTE | 2027 | $15.0M |
| Divine DeabloLB | 2027 | $7.0M |
| Bijan RobinsonRB | 2027 | $5.5M |
| Charlie WoernerTE | 2027 | $4.0M |
| Austin HooperTE | 2027 | $3.3M |
Roster Profile
avg age 26.1
R1 11Day2 20Day3 18UDFA 16
Homegrown 26 (40%)Acquired 39
Avg experience4.1 yrs
Rookies / Vets (8+ yr)7 / 8
| Group | Players | Avg Age |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 3 | 29.3 |
| RB | 5 | 24.8 |
| WR | 7 | 25.6 |
| TE | 4 | 27.2 |
| DL | 8 | 26.4 |
| EDGE | 8 | 25 |
| LB | 6 | 25.7 |
| DB | 16 | 25.8 |
| ST | 8 | 27.2 |
Injury Report · 11
last report week 19
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| DE | Azeez Ojulari | PUP-Vested· Hamstring |
| DE | DeAngelo Malone | IR· Ankle |
| CB | Clark Phillips | PUP-Vested· Triceps |
| S | DeMarcco Hellams | PUP-Vested· Hamstring |
| DE | Bralen Trice | IR |
| QB | Michael Penix Jr. | IR· Knee |
| OL | Jawaan Taylor | IR· Elbow |
| S | Billy Bowman | IR· Achilles |
| CB | Mike Hughes | IR· Ankle |
| OL | Storm Norton | IR· Foot |
| DE | Zach Harrison | IR· Knee |
ATL News
6 items
- Colts sign QB Easton Stick, two othersThe Colts added another quarterback to the roster on Monday.
- Colts sign QB Easton Stick, two othersThe Colts added another quarterback to the roster on Monday.
- Falcons' Week 1 QB competition: Tua Tagovailoa odds-on favorite to win battle of lefties vs. Michael Penix Jr.Who wins the Atlanta Falcons' QB competition?
- Kyle Pitts sees the same leadership from President Matt Ryan as when they were teammatesThe Falcons' tight end and the Falcons' President of Football were teammates in 2021.
- Kyle Pitts sees the same leadership from President Matt Ryan as when they were teammatesThe Falcons' tight end and the Falcons' President of Football were teammates in 2021.
- Falcons president Matt Ryan's hands-on approach a hit in AtlantaFalcons players and coaches are praising Ryan's active role and leadership as the team's new executive.