Division
NFC North
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
9.0p10 6.0 — p90 11.0
| Round | Prob | Bar |
|---|---|---|
| Win division | 18.3% | |
| Make playoffs | 42.2% | |
| Divisional rd. | 20.8% | |
| Conf. champ. | 8.1% | |
| Super Bowl | 2.9% | |
| Win SB | 0.9% |
2026 Schedule · SOS
proj 8.7–8.3·rank 24 / 32
SOS Net
-0.19
Opp Off
+0.72
Opp Def
+0.91
| Wk | Opp | Opp | Proj | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsGB | +0.5 | +1.5 | 54% |
| 2 | @CHI | +0.2 | -2.2 | 44% |
| 3 | @TB | -0.3 | -1.7 | 45% |
| 4 | vsMIA | -2.4 | +4.4 | 63% |
| 5 | @NO | -3.3 | +1.3 | 54% |
| 7 | vsIND | +2.9 | -0.9 | 47% |
| 8 | @DET | +2.0 | -4.0 | 38% |
| 9 | vsBUF | +2.5 | -0.5 | 49% |
| 10 | @GB | +0.5 | -2.5 | 43% |
| 11 | @SF | +0.7 | -2.7 | 42% |
| 12 | vsATL | -1.5 | +3.5 | 60% |
| 13 | vsCAR | -1.8 | +3.8 | 61% |
| 14 | @NE | +2.5 | -4.5 | 37% |
| 15 | vsDET | +2.0 | +0.0 | 50% |
| 16 | vsWAS | -0.8 | +2.8 | 58% |
| 17 | @NYJ | -6.9 | +4.9 | 64% |
| 18 | vsCHI | +0.2 | +1.8 | 55% |
Quarterbacks · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Kyler Murray | 5'10" | 207 | 28 | Oklahoma |
| QB | 2nd | J.J. McCarthy | 6'3" | 219 | 23 | Michigan |
| QB | 3rd | Carson Wentz | 6'5" | 237 | 33 | North Dakota State |
| QB | 4th | Max Brosmer | 6'2" | 217 | 25 | Minnesota |
Running Backs · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 1st | Max Bredeson | 6'2" | 252 | 23 | Michigan |
| RB | 1st | Aaron Jones | 5'10" | 208 | 31 | UTEP |
| RB | 2nd | Jordan Mason | 5'11" | 223 | 27 | Georgia Tech |
| RB | 3rd | Demond Claiborne | 5'10" | 188 | 22 | Wake Forest |
| RB | 4th | Zavier Scott | 6'1" | 219 | 26 | Maine |
| RB | 5th | Kejon Owens | 5'11" | 210 | — | Florida International |
Wide Receivers · 12
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Justin Jefferson | 6'1" | 195 | 26 | LSU |
| WR | 2nd | Jordan Addison | 5'11" | 175 | 24 | USC |
| WR | 3rd | Jauan Jennings | 6'3" | 212 | 28 | Tennessee |
| WR | 4th | Tai Felton | 6'1" | 183 | 23 | Maryland |
| WR | 5th | Jeshaun Jones | 6'1" | 188 | 26 | Maryland |
| WR | 6th | Myles Price | 5'9" | 183 | 24 | Indiana |
| WR | 8th | Joaquin Davis | 6'4" | 195 | 23 | North Carolina Central |
| WR | — | Dillon Bell | 6'1" | 210 | 22 | Georgia |
| WR | — | Dontae Fleming | 6'2" | 180 | 24 | Tulane |
| WR | — | Luke Wysong | 5'10" | 186 | 23 | Arizona; New Mexico |
| WR | — | Marcus Sanders Jr. | 6'1" | 190 | — | Georgia Southern |
| WR | — | Terrill Davis | 6'0" | 195 | 22 | Oklahoma State; Central Oklahoma |
Tight Ends · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | T.J. Hockenson | 6'5" | 248 | 28 | Iowa |
| TE | 2nd | Josh Oliver | 6'5" | 259 | 29 | San Jose State |
| TE | 3rd | Ben Yurosek | 6'4" | 245 | 24 | Georgia |
| TE | 4th | Gavin Bartholomew | 6'5" | 246 | 23 | Pittsburgh |
| TE | — | Bryson Nesbit | 6'5" | 228 | 23 | North Carolina |
Offensive Line · 17
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Blake Brandel | 6'7" | 315 | 29 | Oregon State |
| OL | — | Brian O'Neill | 6'7" | 310 | 30 | Pittsburgh |
| OL | — | Caleb Etienne | 6'7" | 329 | 24 | BYU; Oklahoma State; Butler University |
| OL | — | Caleb Tiernan | 6'7" | 323 | 23 | Northwestern |
| OL | — | Christian Darrisaw | 6'5" | 315 | 27 | Virginia Tech |
| OL | — | Delby Lemieux | 6'5" | 305 | 22 | Dartmouth |
| OL | — | Donovan Jackson | 6'4" | 324 | 23 | Ohio State |
| OL | — | Gavin Gerhardt | 6'4" | 310 | — | Cincinnati |
| OL | — | Henry Byrd | 6'5" | 314 | 26 | Princeton |
| OL | — | Joe Huber | 6'5" | 310 | 24 | Wisconsin |
| OL | — | Michael Jurgens | 6'4" | 311 | 26 | Wake Forest |
| OL | — | Ryan Van Demark | 6'6" | 307 | 28 | Connecticut |
| OL | — | Tomas Rimac | 6'6" | 317 | — | Virginia Tech; West Virginia |
| OL | — | Tristan Leigh | 6'5" | 312 | 23 | Clemson |
| OL | — | Vershon Lee | 6'4" | 318 | 24 | South Carolina |
| OL | — | Walter Rouse | 6'6" | 330 | 25 | Oklahoma; Stanford |
| OL | — | Will Fries | 6'6" | 321 | 28 | Penn State |
Interior D-Line · 10
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDE | 1st | Levi Drake-Rodriguez | 6'2" | 290 | 25 | East Texas A&M |
| NT | 1st | Caleb Banks | 6'6" | 320 | 23 | Florida |
| RDE | 1st | Jalen Redmond | 6'3" | 291 | 27 | Oklahoma |
| LDE | 2nd | Eric Johnson | 6'4" | 320 | 27 | Missouri State |
| NT | 2nd | Domonique Orange | 6'2" | 322 | 22 | Iowa State |
| RDE | 2nd | Tyrion Ingram-Dawkins | 6'5" | 276 | 22 | Georgia |
| NT | 3rd | Taki Taimani | 6'1" | 309 | 26 | Oregon |
| RDE | 3rd | Isaiahh Loudermilk | 6'7" | 293 | 28 | Wisconsin |
| DL | — | Monkell Goodwine | 6'4" | 290 | 23 | South Carolina; Alabama |
| DL | — | Smith Vilbert | 6'6" | 282 | 25 | North Carolina |
Edge Rushers · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SLB | 1st | Dallas Turner | 6'3" | 247 | 23 | Alabama |
| WLB | 1st | Andrew Van Ginkel | 6'4" | 242 | 30 | Wisconsin |
| WLB | 2nd | Bo Richter | 6'1" | 248 | 25 | Air Force |
| RDE | 4th | Elijah Williams | 6'3" | 298 | 23 | Morgan State |
Linebackers · 12
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LILB | 1st | Eric Wilson | 6'1" | 230 | 31 | Cincinnati |
| RILB | 1st | Blake Cashman | 6'1" | 235 | 30 | Minnesota |
| LILB | 2nd | Jake Golday | 6'4" | 240 | 23 | Cincinnati |
| RILB | 2nd | Ivan Pace | 5'10" | 231 | 25 | Cincinnati |
| SLB | 2nd | Chaz Chambliss | 6'1" | 242 | 23 | Georgia |
| LILB | 3rd | Josh Ross | 6'0" | 229 | 26 | Michigan |
| SLB | 3rd | Tyler Batty | 6'5" | 271 | 27 | BYU |
| LB | — | Arden Walker | 6'2" | 250 | — | Colorado; Missouri |
| LB | — | Bangally Kamara | 6'2" | 235 | 24 | Kansas; South Carolina; Pittsburgh |
| LB | — | Cam'Ron Stewart | 6'5" | 250 | 22 | Temple |
| LB | — | Jacob Roberts | 6'1" | 233 | 24 | Wake Forest; North Carolina A&T |
| LB | — | Keli Lawson | 6'4" | 230 | — | UCF; Virginia Tech |
Defensive Backs · 16
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FS | 1st | Theo Jackson | 6'1" | 198 | 27 | Tennessee |
| LCB | 1st | Isaiah Rodgers | 5'10" | 176 | 28 | UMass |
| NB | 1st | Tavierre Thomas | 5'10" | 205 | 30 | Ferris State |
| RCB | 1st | Byron Murphy | 5'11" | 190 | 28 | Washington |
| SS | 1st | Josh Metellus | 5'11" | 207 | 28 | Michigan |
| FS | 2nd | Jakobe Thomas | 6'2" | 200 | 22 | Miami (FL) |
| LCB | 2nd | James Pierre | 6'2" | 185 | 29 | Florida Atlantic |
| RCB | 2nd | Dwight McGlothern | 6'2" | 185 | 24 | Arkansas |
| SS | 2nd | Jay Ward | 6'1" | 188 | 25 | LSU |
| LCB | 3rd | Charles Demmings | 6'1" | 193 | 23 | Stephen F. Austin |
| RCB | 3rd | Kahlef Hailassie | 6'1" | 194 | 25 | Western Kentucky |
| RCB | 4th | Zemaiah Vaughn | 6'3" | 187 | 24 | Utah |
| DB | — | Da'Veawn Armstead | 6'1" | 183 | — | North Texas; TCU; Sam Houston State |
| DB | — | Jacob Thomas | 6'1" | 212 | — | James Madison |
| DB | — | Marcus Allen | 6'1" | 197 | 22 | North Carolina |
| DB | — | Tyreek Chappell | 5'11" | 180 | 23 | Texas A&M |
Special Teams · 9
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | 1st | Johnny Hekker | 6'5" | 225 | 36 | Oregon State |
| KR | 1st | Myles Price | 5'9" | 183 | 24 | Indiana |
| P | 1st | Johnny Hekker | 6'5" | 225 | 36 | Oregon State |
| PK | 1st | Will Reichard | 6'1" | 187 | 25 | Alabama |
| PR | 1st | Myles Price | 5'9" | 183 | 24 | Indiana |
| KR | 2nd | Tai Felton | 6'1" | 183 | 23 | Maryland |
| PR | 2nd | Jeshaun Jones | 6'1" | 188 | 26 | Maryland |
| LS | — | Andrew DePaola | 6'1" | 227 | 38 | Rutgers |
| P | — | Brett Thorson | 6'1" | 237 | 26 | Georgia |
Team Profile
2025 · pct vs league
| Pass Off | -0.19 | #30 | 6% |
| Rush Off | -0.01 | #18 | 45% |
| Pass Def | -0.15 | #2 | 97% |
| Rush Def | -0.05 | #8 | 77% |
| Scoring Off | 344 | #26 | 19% |
| Scoring Def | 333 | #7 | 81% |
EPA Trend
EPA/play by season · adj
NetOffDefDef: lower = better
Performance · 2025
9-8 · +11 pt diff
| Metric | Off | Def | Rk |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play (adj) | -0.086 | -0.089 | 17 |
| EPA / play (raw) | -0.072 | -0.074 | 28/3 |
| Pass EPA | -0.188 | -0.148 | 30/2 |
| Rush EPA | -0.015 | -0.053 | 18/8 |
| Points | 344 | 333 | — |
Lower def EPA = better. Ranks: 1 best, 32 worst.
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
20.2
26th in NFL
PPG Against
19.6
7th in NFL
Differential
+0.6
17th in NFL
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / LSeason Results
9-8 · 9-8 ATS
WinLossCoveredmargin per game
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 4-4 | 22.8 | 14.9 |
| Away | 5-4 | 18 | 23.8 |
| Competition | |||
| One-score (≤8) | 5-4 | 22.7 | 22.4 |
| vs Winning teams | 4-6 | 16.9 | 21.8 |
| Environment | |||
| Indoors | 6-5 | 23 | 18.7 |
| Outdoors | 3-3 | 15.2 | 21.2 |
| Grass | 2-2 | 18.8 | 22 |
| Turf | 7-6 | 20.7 | 18.8 |
Recent Form · last 5
5-0 SU · 5-0 ATS · O1/U4
Betting Profile
2025
| Straight up | 9-8 |
| ATS | 9-853% |
| Over / Under | 8-9 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 4-5 |
| As underdog | 5-3 |
| Home | 4-4 |
| Away | 5-4 |
vs closing line · splits show cover-no cover
Cap & Roster Construction
APY $203M· gtd $305M
OFF $93.4M (46%)DEF $107M (53%)ST $2.5M
| Group | Players | APY | % Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 4 | $10.8M | 5% |
| RB | 3 | $11.8M | 6% |
| WR | 7 | $50.7M | 25% |
| TE | 4 | $20.1M | 10% |
| DL | 6 | $6.9M | 3% |
| EDGE | 4 | $29.0M | 14% |
| LB | 6 | $21.6M | 11% |
| DB | 10 | $49.4M | 24% |
| ST | 2 | $2.5M | 1% |
Top Contracts
| Player | Yrs | Total | Gtd | APY | Cap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin JeffersonWR | 4 | $140M | $88.7M | $35.0M | 13.7% |
| Andrew Van GinkelDE | 1 | $23.0M | $22.4M | $23.0M | 8.2% |
| Byron MurphyCB | 3 | $54.0M | $34.8M | $18.0M | 6.4% |
| Josh MetellusS | 3 | $36.0M | $14.6M | $12.0M | 4.3% |
| T.J. HockensonTE | 1 | $10.2M | $10.2M | $10.3M | 3.4% |
| Jauan JenningsWR | 1 | $8.0M | $6.1M | $8.0M | 2.7% |
Pending Free Agents
| Player | Free | APY |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Van GinkelDE | 2026 | $23.0M |
| T.J. HockensonTE | 2027 | $10.3M |
| Jauan JenningsWR | 2027 | $8.0M |
| Blake CashmanLB | 2027 | $7.5M |
| Aaron JonesRB | 2027 | $5.6M |
| Isaiah RodgersCB | 2027 | $5.5M |
| Jordan MasonRB | 2027 | $5.3M |
| Ivan PaceLB | 2027 | $3.5M |
Roster Profile
avg age 26
R1 8Day2 7Day3 17UDFA 27
Homegrown 19 (32%)Acquired 40
Avg experience3.5 yrs
Rookies / Vets (8+ yr)8 / 6
| Group | Players | Avg Age |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 4 | 27.2 |
| RB | 5 | 25.8 |
| WR | 7 | 24.9 |
| TE | 4 | 26 |
| DL | 8 | 25 |
| EDGE | 4 | 25.2 |
| LB | 7 | 26.4 |
| DB | 12 | 26.1 |
| ST | 7 | 27.7 |
Injury Report · 6
last report week 18
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| S | Josh Metellus | IR· Shoulder |
| OL | Christian Darrisaw | IR· Knee |
| DT | Isaiahh Loudermilk | PUP-Vested· Ankle |
| QB | Carson Wentz | IR· Shoulder |
| QB | Kyler Murray | IR· Foot |
| DE | Elijah Williams | IR· Hamstring |
MIN News
20 items
- Larry Fitzgerald Sr. dies at 71Larry Fitzgerald Sr., a long-time Minnesota sports reporter and the father of soon-to-be Hall of Fame receiver Larry Fitzgerald Jr., has died.MIN3h
- Larry Fitzgerald Sr., sportswriter and father of Hall of Fame WR, dies at 71Larry Fitzgerald Sr., the longtime Minnesota sportswriter and father of Hall of Fame wide receiver Larry Fitzgerald Jr., died Monday, according to his family. He was 71.MIN4h
- Vikings announce Nolan Teasley as their new GMNolan Teasley officially became the new General Manager of the Vikings on Monday.MIN9h
- The Vikings Gained Some Cap Room TodayHow did that happen?MIN13h
- A Deep Dive on New Vikings’ GM Nolan TeasleyThe Minnesota Vikings have reportedly hired Nolan Teasley, Assistant General Manager of the Seattle Seahawks, as their next general manager. Various reports also mention that the Vikings will continue to have Rob Brzezinski in his long-time role of EVP of Football Operations, specializing in salary cap management and contract negotiations, among other things. The Teasley […]MIN2d
- How the Vikings’ New GM Impacts the RamsRams assistant GM John McKay loses job search to NFC West rivalMIN2d
- If Nolan Teasley is the "primary football executive" in Minnesota, Seahawks will get compensatory picksThe hiring of Seahawks assistant G.M.MIN2d
- If Nolan Teasley is the "primary football executive" in Minnesota, Seahawks will get compensatory picksThe hiring of Seahawks assistant G.M.MIN2d
- The Nolan Teasley, Kevin O'Connell relationship becomes critical for the VikingsFor any NFL team, the most important relationship happens between the head coach and the G.M.MIN2d
- Vikings Hire Nolan Teasley as New General ManagerThe Vikings hire someone from Vikings WestMIN2d
- Bills assistant GM Terrance Gray not picked as Vikings GMThe Bills will retain their assistant GM after allMIN2d
- Minnesota Vikings News and Links: GM Search Is Over!The Vikings have hired Nolan Teasley. I am sure there will be a separate post. The Vikings have three more OTAs on June 1, June 2, and June 4. Mandatory Minicamp runs from June 9th to June 11th. Training camp will begin in mid-July so the players get a month off to go out and […]MIN2d
- Vikings agree to hire Nolan Teasley as their new GMThe former Assistant General Manager of the Seahawks gets the top job in the Vikings' front office.MIN2d
- Vikings agree to hire Nolan Teasley as their new GMThe former Assistant General Manager of the Seahawks gets the top job in the Vikings' front office.MIN2d
- First open Vikings OTA reveals clear leader in quarterback competitionSo far, J.J. McCarthy is no match for Kyler Murray.MIN3d
- What Vikings QBs Kyler Murray, J.J. McCarthy showed at OTAMurray and McCarthy are competing for the starting job, and we got an initial glimpse into how things could play out.
- Kyler Murray, J.J. McCarthy offer different takes on Vikings QB competitionMurray described a supportive relationship with McCarthy during Vikings OTAs, while McCarthy's cooler "two guys in a classroom" answer hinted at the tensionMIN4d
- Douglas: Vikings QB room is 'very awkward' with McCarthy, MurrayHarry Douglas and Michael Wilbon discuss the Vikings' current quarterback situation.
- McCarthy: No 'awkwardness' with Murray over QB1 competitionJ.J. McCarthy says there isn't "any awkwardness" between him and Kyler Murray, whom the Vikings signed in March to compete for Minnesota's starting quarterback duties.
- NFL trade offers for Coleman, Kmet, Richardson, ThibodeauxWe proposed trade offers for Keon Coleman, Cole Kmet, Anthony Richardson Sr. and Kayvon Thibodeaux. Could any of them be on the move?MIN5d