Division
AFC West
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
9.0p10 6.0 — p90 12.0
| Round | Prob | Bar |
|---|---|---|
| Win division | 37.8% | |
| Make playoffs | 55.1% | |
| Divisional rd. | 29.8% | |
| Conf. champ. | 14.4% | |
| Super Bowl | 6.6% | |
| Win SB | 3.1% |
2026 Schedule · SOS
proj 9.0–8.0·rank 14 / 32
SOS Net
+0.15
Opp Off
-0.01
Opp Def
-0.15
| Wk | Opp | Opp | Proj | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @KC | +1.4 | -1.9 | 44% |
| 2 | vsJAX | +4.2 | -0.8 | 48% |
| 3 | vsLAR | +6.3 | -2.8 | 42% |
| 4 | @SF | +0.7 | -1.3 | 46% |
| 5 | @LAC | +0.2 | -0.8 | 48% |
| 6 | vsSEA | +7.4 | -4.0 | 38% |
| 7 | @ARI | -2.0 | +1.4 | 54% |
| 8 | vsKC | +1.4 | +2.1 | 56% |
| 9 | @CAR | -1.8 | +1.3 | 54% |
| 11 | vsLV | -5.3 | +8.7 | 74% |
| 12 | @PIT | -0.4 | -0.2 | 49% |
| 13 | vsMIA | -2.4 | +5.8 | 67% |
| 14 | @NYJ | -6.9 | +6.3 | 68% |
| 15 | @LV | -5.3 | +4.7 | 64% |
| 16 | vsBUF | +2.5 | +1.0 | 53% |
| 17 | @NE | +2.5 | -3.1 | 41% |
| 18 | vsLAC | +0.2 | +3.2 | 59% |
Quarterbacks · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Bo Nix | 6'2" | 217 | 26 | Oregon |
| QB | 2nd | Jarrett Stidham | 6'3" | 215 | 29 | Auburn |
| QB | 3rd | Sam Ehlinger | 6'1" | 222 | 27 | Texas |
Running Backs · 7
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 1st | Adam Prentice | 6'0" | 245 | 29 | South Carolina |
| RB | 1st | J.K. Dobbins | 5'10" | 212 | 27 | Ohio State |
| RB | 2nd | RJ Harvey | 5'8" | 205 | 25 | UCF |
| RB | 3rd | Jonah Coleman | 5'9" | 228 | 22 | Washington |
| RB | 4th | Jaleel McLaughlin | 5'7" | 187 | 25 | Youngstown State |
| RB | 5th | Tyler Badie | 5'8" | 197 | 27 | Missouri |
| RB | 6th | Cody Schrader | 5'9" | 214 | 26 | Missouri |
Wide Receivers · 12
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Courtland Sutton | 6'4" | 216 | 30 | SMU |
| WR | 2nd | Jaylen Waddle | 5'10" | 185 | 27 | Alabama |
| WR | 3rd | Troy Franklin | 6'3" | 180 | 23 | Oregon |
| WR | 4th | Pat Bryant | 6'2" | 204 | 23 | Illinois |
| WR | 5th | Marvin Mims | 5'11" | 182 | 24 | Oklahoma |
| WR | 6th | Lil'Jordan Humphrey | 6'4" | 225 | 28 | Texas |
| WR | 7th | Michael Bandy | 5'10" | 190 | 28 | San Diego |
| WR | 8th | Michael Woods | 6'1" | 204 | 26 | Oklahoma |
| WR | 9th | Dane Key | 6'3" | 210 | 22 | Nebraska |
| WR | — | Cameron Ross | 5'10" | 186 | 24 | Virginia; James Madison; Connecticut |
| WR | — | Joseph Manjack | 6'3" | 210 | 23 | TCU; Houston; USC |
| WR | — | Kolbe Katsis | 6'1" | 185 | 24 | Northern Arizona; Pittsburg State (KS) |
Tight Ends · 7
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Evan Engram | 6'3" | 240 | 31 | Mississippi |
| TE | 2nd | Adam Trautman | 6'5" | 253 | 29 | Dayton |
| TE | 3rd | Justin Joly | 6'3" | 241 | 21 | NC State |
| TE | 4th | Nate Adkins | 6'3" | 252 | 26 | South Carolina |
| TE | 5th | Lucas Krull | 6'6" | 260 | 27 | Pittsburgh |
| TE | 6th | Dallen Bentley | 6'4" | 264 | 25 | Utah |
| TE | 7th | Caleb Lohner | 6'7" | 250 | 24 | Utah |
Offensive Line · 16
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Alex Forsyth | 6'4" | 312 | 27 | Oregon |
| OL | — | Alex Palczewski | 6'6" | 315 | 26 | Illinois |
| OL | — | Ben Powers | 6'4" | 310 | 29 | Oklahoma; Butler County JC |
| OL | — | Calvin Throckmorton | 6'5" | 311 | 29 | Oregon |
| OL | — | Frank Crum | 6'7" | 315 | 26 | Wyoming |
| OL | — | Garett Bolles | 6'5" | 300 | 34 | Utah; Snow |
| OL | — | Gavin Ortega | 6'5" | 300 | 22 | Weber State |
| OL | — | Kage Casey | 6'5" | 311 | 22 | Boise State |
| OL | — | Luke Wattenberg | 6'5" | 300 | 28 | Washington |
| OL | — | Matt Peart | 6'7" | 318 | 28 | Connecticut |
| OL | — | Michael Deiter | 6'6" | 310 | 29 | Wisconsin |
| OL | — | Mike McGlinchey | 6'8" | 315 | 31 | Notre Dame |
| OL | — | Nash Jones | 6'4" | 314 | 24 | Texas State-San Marcos |
| OL | — | Nick Gargiulo | 6'5" | 310 | 25 | South Carolina; Yale |
| OL | — | Quinn Meinerz | 6'3" | 320 | 27 | Wisconsin-Whitewater |
| OL | — | Tyler Miller | 6'9" | 335 | — | Iowa State |
Interior D-Line · 11
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDE | 1st | Malcolm Roach | 6'3" | 290 | 27 | Texas |
| NT | 1st | D.J. Jones | 6'0" | 305 | 31 | Mississippi |
| RDE | 1st | Zach Allen | 6'5" | 285 | 28 | Boston College |
| LDE | 2nd | Tyler Onyedim | 6'3" | 292 | 23 | Texas A&M |
| NT | 2nd | Eyioma Uwazurike | 6'6" | 320 | 28 | Iowa State |
| RDE | 2nd | Sai'vion Jones | 6'5" | 289 | 22 | LSU |
| LDE | 3rd | Jordan Jackson | 6'4" | 294 | 28 | Air Force |
| LDE | 4th | Matt Henningsen | 6'3" | 291 | 26 | Wisconsin |
| DL | — | Johnny Walker Jr. | 6'3" | 250 | 24 | Missouri |
| DL | — | Jordan Miller | 6'3" | 307 | 26 | SMU; Miami |
| DL | — | Kristian Williams | 6'2" | 295 | 25 | Missouri |
Edge Rushers · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SLB | 1st | Nik Bonitto | 6'3" | 240 | 26 | Oklahoma |
| WLB | 1st | Jonathon Cooper | 6'4" | 257 | 28 | Ohio State |
| SLB | 2nd | Dondrea Tillman | 6'4" | 247 | 28 | Indiana (PA) |
| WLB | 2nd | Jonah Elliss | 6'2" | 246 | 23 | Utah |
| WLB | 3rd | Quandarrius Robinson | 6'4" | 243 | 25 | Alabama |
Linebackers · 9
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LILB | 1st | Alex Singleton | 6'2" | 240 | 32 | Montana State |
| RILB | 1st | Justin Strnad | 6'3" | 235 | 29 | Wake Forest |
| LILB | 2nd | Red Murdock | 6'3" | 240 | 22 | Buffalo |
| RILB | 2nd | Drew Sanders | 6'5" | 233 | 25 | Arkansas |
| LILB | 3rd | Karene Reid | 6'0" | 226 | 26 | Utah |
| RILB | 3rd | Levelle Bailey | 6'2" | 225 | 25 | Fresno State |
| LILB | 4th | Jordan Turner | 6'1" | 231 | 24 | Michigan State; Wisconsin |
| RILB | 4th | Taurean York | 5'11" | 226 | 20 | Texas A&M |
| LB | — | Dasan McCullough | 6'5" | 240 | 23 | Nebraska; Indiana |
Defensive Backs · 17
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FS | 1st | Brandon Jones | 6'0" | 191 | 28 | Texas |
| LCB | 1st | Riley Moss | 6'0" | 193 | 26 | Iowa |
| NB | 1st | Ja'Quan McMillian | 5'10" | 183 | 25 | East Carolina |
| RCB | 1st | Patrick Surtain II | 6'2" | 202 | 26 | Alabama |
| SS | 1st | Talanoa Hufanga | 6'0" | 200 | 26 | USC |
| FS | 2nd | Devon Key | 6'0" | 208 | 28 | Western Kentucky |
| LCB | 2nd | Reese Taylor | 5'9" | 188 | 26 | Purdue |
| NB | 2nd | Jahdae Barron | 5'11" | 200 | 24 | Texas |
| RCB | 2nd | Kris Abrams-Draine | 5'11" | 178 | 24 | Missouri |
| SS | 2nd | JL Skinner | 6'4" | 220 | 25 | Boise State |
| FS | 3rd | Miles Scott | 5'11" | 210 | 24 | Illinois |
| FS | 4th | Tycen Anderson | 6'2" | 205 | 26 | Toledo |
| DB | — | Ahmari Harvey | 5'11" | 185 | 23 | Georgia Tech; Auburn |
| DB | — | Brent Austin | 5'11" | 180 | 22 | California; University of South Florida; James Madison |
| DB | — | Jaden Robinson | 6'0" | 193 | 25 | Oregon State |
| DB | — | Parker Robertson | 5'11" | 185 | 24 | Oklahoma State |
| DB | — | Paul Manning | 6'1" | 192 | — | Henderson State University |
Special Teams · 10
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | 1st | Jeremy Crawshaw | 6'3" | 205 | 25 | Florida |
| KR | 1st | Marvin Mims | 5'11" | 182 | 24 | Oklahoma |
| P | 1st | Jeremy Crawshaw | 6'3" | 205 | 25 | Florida |
| PK | 1st | Wil Lutz | 5'11" | 184 | 31 | Georgia State |
| PR | 1st | Marvin Mims | 5'11" | 182 | 24 | Oklahoma |
| KR | 2nd | Tyler Badie | 5'8" | 197 | 27 | Missouri |
| PR | 2nd | Michael Bandy | 5'10" | 190 | 28 | San Diego |
| KR | 3rd | RJ Harvey | 5'8" | 205 | 25 | UCF |
| LS | — | Luke Basso | 6'3" | 246 | 23 | Oregon |
| LS | — | Mitchell Fraboni | 6'2" | 223 | 29 | Arizona State |
Team Profile
2025 · pct vs league
| Pass Off | 0.06 | #11 | 68% |
| Rush Off | -0.01 | #17 | 48% |
| Pass Def | -0.11 | #7 | 81% |
| Rush Def | -0.03 | #15 | 55% |
| Scoring Off | 401 | #14 | 58% |
| Scoring Def | 311 | #3 | 94% |
EPA Trend
EPA/play by season · adj
NetOffDefDef: lower = better
Performance · 2025
14-3 · +90 pt diff
| Metric | Off | Def | Rk |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play (adj) | +0.003 | -0.029 | 7 |
| EPA / play (raw) | +0.017 | -0.038 | 17/7 |
| Pass EPA | +0.057 | -0.113 | 11/7 |
| Rush EPA | -0.007 | -0.028 | 17/15 |
| Points | 401 | 311 | — |
Lower def EPA = better. Ranks: 1 best, 32 worst.
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
23.6
14th in NFL
PPG Against
18.3
3rd in NFL
Differential
+5.3
7th in NFL
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / LSeason Results
14-3 · 7-10 ATS
WinLossCoveredmargin per game
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 8-1 | 25.6 | 17.8 |
| Away | 6-2 | 21.4 | 18.9 |
| Competition | |||
| One-score (≤8) | 11-2 | 22.3 | 19 |
| vs Winning teams | 4-2 | 22 | 19.7 |
| Environment | |||
| Indoors | 2-2 | 22.5 | 21 |
| Outdoors | 12-1 | 23.9 | 17.5 |
| Grass | 13-1 | 23.9 | 17.4 |
| Turf | 1-2 | 22 | 22.3 |
Recent Form · last 5
4-1 SU · 2-3 ATS · O3/U2
Betting Profile
2025
| Straight up | 14-3 |
| ATS | 7-1041% |
| Over / Under | 7-10 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 4-1 |
| As underdog | 3-9 |
| Home | 5-4 |
| Away | 2-6 |
vs closing line · splits show cover-no cover
Cap & Roster Construction
APY $289M· gtd $401M
OFF $108M (37%)DEF $175M (60%)ST $6.5M
| Group | Players | APY | % Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 3 | $12.7M | 4% |
| RB | 6 | $14.8M | 5% |
| WR | 8 | $59.3M | 20% |
| TE | 5 | $21.2M | 7% |
| DL | 7 | $52.1M | 18% |
| EDGE | 5 | $43.8M | 15% |
| LB | 6 | $18.0M | 6% |
| DB | 11 | $60.9M | 21% |
| ST | 2 | $6.5M | 2% |
Top Contracts
| Player | Yrs | Total | Gtd | APY | Cap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylen WaddleWR | 3 | $84.8M | $36.0M | $28.3M | 11.1% |
| Nik BonittoDE | 4 | $106M | $38.3M | $26.5M | 9.5% |
| Zach AllenDT | 4 | $102M | $44.2M | $25.5M | 9.1% |
| Patrick Surtain IICB | 4 | $96.0M | $40.7M | $24.0M | 9.4% |
| Courtland SuttonWR | 4 | $92.0M | $40.0M | $23.0M | 8.2% |
| Jonathon CooperDE | 4 | $54.0M | $16.7M | $13.5M | 5.3% |
Pending Free Agents
| Player | Free | APY |
|---|---|---|
| Eyioma UwazurikeDT | 2026 | $1.1M |
| Jaylen WaddleWR | 2027 | $28.3M |
| Evan EngramTE | 2027 | $11.5M |
| Brandon JonesS | 2027 | $6.7M |
| Jarrett StidhamQB | 2027 | $6.0M |
| Ja'Quan McMillianCB | 2027 | $5.8M |
| Sam EhlingerQB | 2027 | $2.0M |
| Nate AdkinsTE | 2027 | $1.6M |
Roster Profile
avg age 26
R1 5Day2 17Day3 25UDFA 20
Homegrown 32 (48%)Acquired 35
Avg experience3.5 yrs
Rookies / Vets (8+ yr)8 / 5
| Group | Players | Avg Age |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 3 | 27.3 |
| RB | 7 | 25.9 |
| WR | 9 | 25.7 |
| TE | 7 | 26.1 |
| DL | 8 | 26.6 |
| EDGE | 5 | 26 |
| LB | 8 | 25.4 |
| DB | 12 | 25.7 |
| ST | 8 | 26.1 |
Injury Report · 9
last report week 21
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| RB | J.K. Dobbins | PUP-Vested· Foot |
| S | Brandon Jones | IR· Foot |
| OL | Matt Peart | IR· Shoulder |
| DT | Matt Henningsen | IR |
| TE | Lucas Krull | PUP-Vested· Foot |
| LB | Drew Sanders | PUP-Vested· Ankle |
| OL | Nick Gargiulo | IR |
| QB | Bo Nix | IR· Ankle |
| DL | Johnny Walker Jr. | IR |
DEN News
5 items
- UDFA wide receiver Dane Key could challenge for one of the Broncos’ depth spots at the positionCan undrafted rookie free agent wide receiver Dane Key surprise and make the Broncos’ final 53-man roster?
- Monday morning Broncos stadium thoughtsTime to speak up about what Broncos Country want in their new stadium.DEN17h
- UDFA Kolbe Katsis is a speedy WR/KR who could make some noise this summerAt the conclusion of the 2026 NFL Draft, the Denver Broncos signed several undrafted free agents, including the speedy Northern Arizona wide receiver, Kolbe Katsis. He is a 6-1, 185-pound wide receiver/returner who will be competing for a spot on the Broncos’ 53-man roster and, more realistically, a spot on their practice squad. During his […]
- Von Miller plans to play in '26, has lobbied Broncos for returnVon Miller said Wednesday that he is "for sure'' playing for somebody in the 2026 season and that he has already lobbied Denver coach Sean Payton for his former team to sign him.
- Broncos' Nik Bonitto is striving for the next level in 2026Bonitto set a career high with 14 sacks last season, but he knows that he'll be facing more double-teams and chips in 2026.